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Got global supply chain responsibilities? Don’t plan the golf vacation just yet

Globalization had much to contribute to the elevation of the supply chain profession from the backroom to the board room.

When supply chains become so extended they cross continents and must contend with a multitude of customs regulations, currencies and modal options, it’s almost impossible to ignore the importance of supply chain managers in ensuring everything falls into place as it should.

Canadian companies are highly reliant on exports and our research shows more than a third of supply chain managers have global responsibilities.

But the global ambitions of many exporters have distinctly clipped of late. Consider the latest survey of exporters conducted by Export Development Canada earlier this year. When it surveyed exporters in January it found exporter confidence had fallen to a third consecutive all-time low over the past 18 months.

The share of respondents indicating that the global economy would get worse surged to 64 per cent from 51 per cent in the spring of 2008, and 30 per cent in the fall of 2007. The percentage of exporters expecting their international sales to remain the same or worsen jumped to 62 per cent in the fall, the highest level ever.

Does this mean supply chain managers with global responsibilities will be sitting idle? Perhaps yes, perhaps no.

The EDC study found that concerns about the domestic economy hit a new high, with 57 per cent of respondents expecting domestic conditions to worsen, a 15 per cent leap in just 6 months. And a third of exporters now consider the US to be their riskiest market. With the North American economy still in meltdown mode, Canadian companies may have to look at the world’s developing markets to boost their sales.

In fact, the EDC found that when it comes to trade opportunities, Canadian exporters are more polarized than ever before. While respondents who believed that international trade opportunities will worsen grew from 23 per cent to 38 per cent, compared to 6 months ago, the number of respondents who believed they would improve also grew to 33 per cent from 28 per cent in the same period.

These results may suggest that the growing number of Canadian exporters that have expanded into non-traditional markets in the past two years think that those opportunities will help to shore up near-term activity.

And they may also indicate that supply chain managers with global responsibilities shouldn’t be planning that long-hoped for golf vacation just yet.

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lou-bio.jpg With over 15 years experience covering transportation, Lou is among the more recognizable personalities in the logistics industry. A holder of the professional designation MCILT, and a winner of several prestigious writing awards, Lou’s insight and research ability make him a much sought-after speaker at numerous conferences and seminars throughout the year.

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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on March 2, 2009 4:35 AM.

The previous post in this blog was The outlook for motor carriers this year is grim; and the good may depart with the bad.

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